Fair Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Fair Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fair Grove, ~18% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fair Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fair Grove leans more Republican than 13 of 50 neighbors.
Fair Grove runs about 40 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fair Grove. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+53), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Fair Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fair Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 79% of households in Fair Grove are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Fair Grove, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fair Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Fair Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fruitland, MO R+63
- Tin Town, MO R+68
- Olive, MO R+66
- Pleasant Hope, MO R+68
- Valley Water Mills, MO R+52
- Strafford, MO R+56
- Elkland, MO R+69
- March, MO R+68
- Northview, MO R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Paris, AR R+57
- Harmony, PA R+32
- Blue Ridge, VA R+49
- Pine Ridge, SD D+68
- Troy, VA R+24
- Hodges, SC R+39
- Hoosick Falls, NY R+18
- Paxton, IL R+33
- Forest Hills, TN R+15
- Dayton, VA R+49
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.