Swan Lake leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 32% of adults in Swan Lake typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Swan Lake, ~18% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Swan Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Swan Lake leans more Democratic than 30 of 54 neighbors.
Swan Lake runs about 36 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Swan Lake is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Swan Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Swan Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in Swan Lake hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Rural majority-Black areas vote Democratic, and about 70% of residents in Swan Lake are Black or African American, in the top fraction of cities. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 74% of adults in Swan Lake have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Swan Lake, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Swan Lake looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Swan Lake is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 5%, about 55 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 64% of households in Swan Lake rent, compared to around 38% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 44% of adults in Swan Lake report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Four Mile, MS R+35
- Morgan City, MS D+12
- Jaketown, MS R+38
- Deovolente, MS R+57
- Moorhead, MS D+53
- Oak Grove, MS R+57
- Inverness, MS R+15
- Caile, MS R+3
- Phillipstown, MS D+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Amistad, NM R+69
- Leetonia, PA R+57
- Reydell, AR R+46
- Longview, MO R+72
- Lordville, NY R+39
- Logan, SD R+70
- Lucca, ND R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.