Swatara leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Swatara typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Swatara, ~16% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Swatara compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Swatara leans more Republican than 15 of 18 neighbors.
Swatara runs about 43 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Swatara is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Swatara leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Swatara, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Swatara votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Swatara runs about 43 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Swatara sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Swatara sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 78% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Swatara, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Swatara looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Swatara is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 61% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hill City, MN R+37
- Outing, MN R+36
- Remer, MN R+37
- Bowstring, MN R+40
- Waukenabo, MN R+40
- Emily, MN R+31
- Inguadona, MN R+30
- Palisade, MN R+39
- Fifty Lakes, MN R+28
- Jacobson, MN R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Two Creeks, WI R+43
- Linville, LA R+79
- Greenwood Shores, SC R+56
- Whites, MS R+10
- Clipper Gap, CA R+25
- Gunder, IA R+41
- Mountain Home, UT R+85
- Mountain, WV R+65
- Oakland, AL R+61
- Ocean Springs, FL R+42
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.