Texas leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Texas typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Texas, ~24% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Texas compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Texas leans more Republican than 38 of 80 neighbors.
Texas runs about 48 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Texas is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Texas leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Texas, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Texas, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 22 points below the New York average of 34%. Texas runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Texas, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Texas looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Texas own their home, about 21 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mexico, NY R+32
- New Haven, NY R+32
- Maple View, NY R+36
- Port Ontario, NY R+35
- Shore Oaks, NY R+33
- Lycoming, NY R+34
- Vermilion, NY R+36
- Pulaski, NY R+28
- Clifford, NY R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- America, AL R+81
- Post Creek, NY R+37
- Head River, GA R+62
- Varner, KS R+65
- Beedeville, AR R+75
- Nash, ND R+52
- Harrison, WI R+35
- Pebble, AL R+86
- Steuben, NY R+47
- Redcrest, CA R+14
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.