Mexico, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mexico

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Mexico leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.

 

About 66% of adults in Mexico typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mexico, ~22% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Mexico compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Mexico leans more Republican than 31 of 83 neighbors.

Mexico runs about 45 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Mexico is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Mexico leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mexico, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Mexico, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the New York average of 34%. Mexico runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mexico, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Mexico looks the way it does

Turnout in Mexico sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.