Theilman leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Theilman typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Theilman, ~21% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Theilman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Theilman leans more Republican than 45 of 56 neighbors.
Theilman runs about 44 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Theilman is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Theilman. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Theilman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Theilman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Theilman live in densely developed areas, about 18 points below the Minnesota average of 23%. Theilman runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Theilman, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Theilman looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Theilman is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Millville, MN R+44
- Jarrett, MN R+47
- Kellogg, MN R+34
- Plainview, MN R+37
- Reads Landing, MN R+23
- Hammond, MN R+48
- Oak Center, MN R+47
- Wabasha, MN R+15
- Potsdam, MN R+31
- Lake City, MN R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ray, MN R+34
- Middle Spring, PA R+46
- Oceanside, OR D+16
- Cordova, NM D+29
- El Verano, CA D+43
- Tatum, SC R+22
- Taylor Creek, OH R+35
- Bradfordton, IL R+19
- Prospect, NY R+32
- Siglerville, PA R+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.