Thomas Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Thomas Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Thomas Hill, ~12% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Thomas Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Thomas Hill leans more Republican than 36 of 47 neighbors.
Thomas Hill runs about 50 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Thomas Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Thomas Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Thomas Hill, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Thomas Hill are family households, above 82% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Thomas Hill, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Thomas Hill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Thomas Hill own their home, about 18 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Prairie Hill, MO R+63
- Clifton Hill, MO R+68
- Mount Airy, MO R+68
- Fort Henry, MO R+65
- Kaseyville, MO R+69
- College Mound, MO R+69
- Huntsville, MO R+61
- Salisbury, MO R+54
- Musselfork, MO R+68
- Cairo, MO R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- York, IL R+57
- Woodside, LA R+71
- Hoguetown, PA R+55
- Annamoriah, WV R+66
- Centennial Heights, MI R+13
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.