Thornton, MS Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Thornton

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Thornton is a Democratic stronghold. About 83% of voters here vote Democratic and 17% Republican.

 

About 62% of adults in Thornton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Thornton, ~51% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Thornton compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Thornton leans more Democratic than 40 of 43 neighbors.

Thornton runs about 88 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Thornton is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Why Thornton leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Thornton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 92% of residents in Thornton are Black or African American, about 56 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 65% of adults in Thornton have never been married, in the top fraction of cities. Thornton runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Thornton, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Thornton looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Thornton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 7%, about 53 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in Thornton report food insecurity, above 97% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Thornton sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

All Local Stats

Home Services

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.