Tillman is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Tillman typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tillman, ~10% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tillman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tillman leans more Republican than 65 of 79 neighbors.
Tillman runs about 54 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Tillman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tillman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Tillman, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 11% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Missouri average of 22%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 92% of residents in Tillman drive to work alone, above 96% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Tillman are family households, above 84% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Tillman, MO sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tillman looks the way it does
Turnout in Tillman sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Advance, MO R+66
- Toga, MO R+73
- Bell City, MO R+69
- Swinton, MO R+72
- Brownwood, MO R+66
- Painton, MO R+69
- Perkins, MO R+70
- Randles, MO R+73
- Aquilla, MO R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ucross, WY R+75
- Zurich, MT R+66
- Doolittle Mills, IN R+53
- Carpentertown, PA R+54
- White Sulphur Springs, LA R+94
- Waltonia, CO R+14
- Redstone Arsenal, AL R+2
- Kewanee, MO R+68
- Sykeston, ND R+62
- Jessie, ND R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.