Tinsman is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Tinsman typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tinsman, ~11% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tinsman compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tinsman leans more Republican than 20 of 36 neighbors.
Tinsman runs about 28 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tinsman. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Tinsman leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tinsman, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Tinsman live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Tinsman, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Tinsman looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tinsman is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in Tinsman have completed high school, below 77% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gravelridge, AR R+51
- Banks, AR R+42
- Woodberry, AR R+69
- Lanark, AR R+48
- Harrell, AR R+59
- Hampton, AR R+56
- Thornton, AR R+58
- New Edinburg, AR R+63
- McKinney, AR R+27
- Fordyce, AR R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Meador, WV R+73
- Watervale, MI R+3
- Rough Creek, VA R+35
- Elsey, MO R+70
- Henkhaus, TX R+75
- Elm Grove, AR R+65
- Dixie, LA R+59
- Grays River, WA R+26
- Skamania, WA R+17
- Reliance, SD R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.