Thornton is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Thornton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Thornton, ~10% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Thornton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Thornton leans more Republican than 20 of 35 neighbors.
Thornton runs about 28 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Thornton. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Thornton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Thornton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in Thornton hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Thornton, AR does.
Why turnout in Thornton looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 84% of adults in Thornton have completed high school, about 6 points below the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fordyce, AR R+7
- Ramsey, AR R+64
- Bearden, AR R+24
- Ivan, AR R+65
- Tinsman, AR R+59
- Woodberry, AR R+69
- Holly Springs, AR R+52
- Kingsland, AR R+62
- Eagle Mills, AR R+43
- New Edinburg, AR R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Loraine, IL R+69
- North Sutton, NH D+5
- Cut, TX R+72
- Culdesac, ID R+43
- Orlean, VA R+20
- Hulett, WY R+82
- Olive Branch, KY R+40
- Bigelow, MN R+58
- Huron, IN R+62
- Lake Eunice, MN R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.