Tiny, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Tiny

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Tiny is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.

 

About 66% of adults in Tiny typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tiny, ~11% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Tiny compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Tiny leans more Republican than 53 of 132 neighbors.

Tiny runs about 73 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Tiny is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Tiny leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tiny, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Tiny, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 5% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 23 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Tiny sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities). Tiny runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Tiny, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Tiny looks the way it does

Turnout in Tiny sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.