Tionesta leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Tionesta typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tionesta, ~13% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tionesta compares
Tionesta runs about 59 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Tionesta is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tionesta. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+39) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Tionesta leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tionesta, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tionesta votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Tionesta runs about 59 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Tionesta, CA does.
Why turnout in Tionesta looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 4% of homes in Tionesta have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Tionesta have completed high school, below 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tulelake, CA R+33
- Malin, OR R+55
- Merrill, OR R+50
- Canby, CA R+51
- Lookout, CA R+46
- Bray, CA R+22
- Lorella, OR R+59
- Macdoel, CA R+22
- Lake of the Woods, OR R+49
- Mount Hebron, CA R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Altus Afb, OK R+76
- Perrys Corner, ME R+29
- Libertyville, IN R+48
- Orogrande, NM R+44
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.