Tom leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Tom typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tom, ~14% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tom compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tom leans more Republican than 6 of 43 neighbors.
Politically, Tom sits close to the rest of Oklahoma.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tom. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+44), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Tom leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tom, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Tom live in densely developed areas, about 15 points below the Oklahoma average of 18%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Tom, OK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Tom looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tom is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Tom report food insecurity, above 85% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Tom have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pleasant Hill, OK R+46
- Lanesport, AR R+53
- Haworth, OK R+70
- Foreman, AR R+53
- Shinewell, OK R+75
- Harris, OK R+48
- Wallace, AR R+46
- Winthrop, AR R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tschetter Colony, SD R+67
- View, TX R+71
- Radom, IL R+57
- Dundaff, PA R+21
- Hix, WV R+54
- Buffalo Mills, PA R+71
- Marl, AL R+86
- Reydon, OK R+83
- Seigler Springs, CA D+4
- Treadwell, NY R+20
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.