Tomlinson leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Tomlinson typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tomlinson, ~22% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tomlinson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tomlinson leans more Republican than 31 of 59 neighbors.
Tomlinson runs about 59 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Tomlinson is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Tomlinson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tomlinson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tomlinson votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Tomlinson runs about 59 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Tomlinson drive to work alone, above 86% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in Tomlinson are family households, above 96% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tomlinson, IL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Tomlinson looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Tomlinson is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Tomlinson own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Tomlinson have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Prospect, IL R+47
- Dewey, IL R+42
- Rantoul, IL D+11
- Fisher, IL R+47
- Thomasboro, IL R+38
- Ludlow, IL R+47
- Foosland, IL R+48
- Elliott, IL R+57
- Lotus, IL R+45
- Osman, IL R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Goldsmith, IN R+59
- Rohrsburg, PA R+53
- Dispatch, KS R+73
- Girard, TX R+79
- Ralph, MI R+42
- West Union, IN R+61
- Bluffton, AR R+71
- Everett Springs, GA R+71
- Salem, PA R+53
- Missionary Acres, MO R+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.