Tularosa leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Tularosa typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tularosa, ~25% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tularosa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tularosa leans more Republican than 5 of 10 neighbors.
Tularosa runs about 34 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Tularosa is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tularosa. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Tularosa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tularosa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tularosa votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Tularosa runs about 34 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Tularosa runs against that pattern.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Tularosa, NM sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Tularosa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tularosa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Luz, NM R+35
- Bent, NM R+27
- Mountain Park, NM R+31
- Alamogordo, NM R+23
- High Rolls Mountain Park, NM R+44
- Mescalero, NM D+42
- Holloman AFB, NM R+12
- Cloudcroft, NM R+31
- Ponderosa Heights, NM D+28
- Sunspot, NM R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Weaverville, CA R+14
- Hamilton, TX R+67
- Riner, VA R+52
- Amissville, VA R+35
- Applewood, CO D+24
- Cheney, KS R+53
- Scio, OR R+43
- Franklin, MI D+19
- Cuthbert, GA D+14
- Corfu, NY R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.