Ulm is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Ulm typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ulm, ~7% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ulm compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ulm leans more Republican than 33 of 39 neighbors.
Ulm runs about 45 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ulm. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+84) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 44 points.
Why Ulm leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ulm, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Ulm live in densely developed areas, about 9 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Ulm sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 95% of cities).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Ulm, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ulm looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Ulm is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Ulm report food insecurity, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roe, AR R+72
- Stuttgart, AR R+10
- Casscoe, AR R+69
- Slovak, AR R+81
- Tollville, AR R+78
- Crocketts Bluff, AR R+72
- Brummitt, AR R+69
- Almyra, AR R+81
- Clarendon, AR R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zimco, AL R+5
- Beetown, WI R+46
- Pratt, MN R+47
- Valley Fork, WV R+61
- Morning Star, AR R+72
- Willey, IA R+57
- North Pownal, VT D+5
- Maple View, NY R+36
- Mark, IA R+62
- San Gregorio, CA D+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.