Ulm is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Ulm typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ulm, ~13% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ulm compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ulm leans more Republican than 11 of 16 neighbors.
Ulm runs about 41 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ulm. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Ulm leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ulm, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Ulm are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Ulm, MT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ulm looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in Ulm own their home, about 20 points above the Montana average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Castner Falls, MT R+50
- Vaughn, MT R+62
- Sun River, MT R+63
- Malmstrom Air Force Base, MT R+39
- Great Falls, MT R+20
- Gibson Flats, MT R+16
- Black Eagle, MT R+35
- Tracy, MT R+54
- Fort Shaw, MT R+63
- Cascade, MT R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Golden, TX R+76
- Marshfield, VT D+12
- Luana, IA R+36
- Genola, MN R+77
- Folkstone, NC R+43
- Walling, TN R+73
- Morganza, LA R+19
- Thurman, OH R+64
- Madisonville, MS R+45
- Rock Springs, WI R+33
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.