Malmstrom Air Force Base leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Malmstrom Air Force Base typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Malmstrom Air Force Base, ~21% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Malmstrom Air Force Base compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Malmstrom Air Force Base leans more Republican than 3 of 16 neighbors.
Malmstrom Air Force Base runs about 19 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Malmstrom Air Force Base. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Malmstrom Air Force Base leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Malmstrom Air Force Base, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Malmstrom Air Force Base votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 34%, well above the Montana average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Malmstrom Air Force Base are family households, above 87% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Malmstrom Air Force Base, MT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Malmstrom Air Force Base looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Malmstrom Air Force Base have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gibson Flats, MT R+16
- Great Falls, MT R+20
- Black Eagle, MT R+35
- Tracy, MT R+54
- Sand Coulee, MT R+55
- Ulm, MT R+61
- Castner Falls, MT R+50
- Stockett, MT R+56
- Portage, MT R+57
- Vaughn, MT R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Como, WI R+16
- Highlandville, MO R+65
- Carbon Hill, AL R+79
- Darlington, PA R+48
- Centreville, MS D+27
- Elko, MN R+34
- Lake City, AR R+67
- Lumber Bridge, NC R+11
- Brookville, NY Even
- Ozona, TX R+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.