Tracy is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Tracy typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tracy, ~14% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tracy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tracy leans more Republican than 8 of 15 neighbors.
Tracy runs about 34 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tracy. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+49), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Tracy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tracy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Tracy live in densely developed areas, about 11 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Tracy, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Tracy looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Tracy is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sand Coulee, MT R+55
- Malmstrom Air Force Base, MT R+39
- Gibson Flats, MT R+16
- Great Falls, MT R+20
- Black Eagle, MT R+35
- Stockett, MT R+56
- Castner Falls, MT R+50
- Wayne, MT R+50
- Belt, MT R+52
- Ulm, MT R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tschetter Colony, SD R+67
- View, TX R+71
- Radom, IL R+57
- Tom, OK R+49
- Hix, WV R+54
- Buffalo Mills, PA R+71
- Marl, AL R+86
- Reydon, OK R+83
- Dundaff, PA R+21
- Seigler Springs, CA D+4
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.