Union Gap leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Union Gap typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Gap, ~23% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Union Gap compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Union Gap leans more Republican than 17 of 26 neighbors.
Union Gap runs about 52 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Union Gap is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Union Gap leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Gap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Union Gap votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Union Gap runs about 52 points more Republican.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Union Gap, OR sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Union Gap looks the way it does
Turnout in Union Gap sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sutherlin, OR R+34
- Old Town, OR R+38
- Oakland, OR R+37
- Stephens, OR R+29
- Wilbur, OR R+24
- Nonpareil, OR R+36
- Rice Hill, OR R+44
- Winchester, OR R+21
- Roseburg North, OR R+19
- Tyee, OR R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wrights Corners, PA R+59
- Trenton, AR D+17
- Payne, IA R+47
- Cundiff, TX R+80
- Lamona, WA R+61
- Park Settlement, TN R+62
- Colliersville, NY R+28
- Woodleaf, CA R+11
- Pittsville, PA R+54
- Postelle, AR D+4
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.