Stephens leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Stephens typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stephens, ~31% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stephens compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stephens leans more Republican than 5 of 24 neighbors.
Stephens runs about 43 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Stephens is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Stephens leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stephens, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stephens votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Stephens runs about 43 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 90% of households in Stephens are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Stephens, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Stephens looks the way it does
Turnout in Stephens sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sutherlin, OR R+34
- Oakland, OR R+37
- Union Gap, OR R+37
- Wilbur, OR R+24
- Umpqua, OR R+36
- Old Town, OR R+38
- Tyee, OR R+31
- Winchester, OR R+21
- Roseburg North, OR R+19
- Roseburg, OR R+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ah Gwah Ching, MN R+41
- Quakake, PA R+39
- Queens, KY R+65
- Masters, MO R+66
- Woodsville, NJ D+8
- Caney Branch, TN R+73
- Maple Valley, IN R+60
- Madison, MD R+50
- Chillicothe, IA R+54
- Brainard, NY D+12
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.