Wilbur leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Wilbur typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wilbur, ~29% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wilbur compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wilbur leans more Republican than 3 of 25 neighbors.
Wilbur runs about 38 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Wilbur is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wilbur. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Wilbur leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wilbur, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Wilbur votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Wilbur runs about 38 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Wilbur are family households, above 91% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Wilbur, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Wilbur looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Wilbur is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Winchester, OR R+21
- Roseburg North, OR R+19
- Sutherlin, OR R+34
- Stephens, OR R+29
- Roseburg, OR R+20
- Union Gap, OR R+37
- Umpqua, OR R+36
- Old Town, OR R+38
- Oakland, OR R+37
- Green, OR R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zion, AL R+82
- McDonald Chapel, AL D+32
- Carrollton, AR R+62
- Bartonsville, VT D+2
- Patterson Heights, PA R+21
- Pleasant Ridge, MO R+69
- Monticello, TX R+57
- Molloy, AL R+82
- Westfield, OH R+59
- Wayne, MO R+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.