Union Hill-Novelty Hill, WA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Union Hill-Novelty Hill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Union Hill-Novelty Hill leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.

 

About 85% of adults in Union Hill-Novelty Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Hill-Novelty Hill, ~57% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Union Hill-Novelty Hill compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Union Hill-Novelty Hill leans more Democratic than 61 of 88 neighbors.

Union Hill-Novelty Hill runs about 15 points more Democratic than Washington as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Union Hill-Novelty Hill. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+39) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+16), a spread of about 24 points.

Why Union Hill-Novelty Hill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Hill-Novelty Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 72% of adults in Union Hill-Novelty Hill hold a bachelor's degree, about 43 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Union Hill-Novelty Hill sits in the top fifth on density (about 57%, above 89% of cities).

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Union Hill-Novelty Hill, WA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Union Hill-Novelty Hill looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Union Hill-Novelty Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Union Hill-Novelty Hill have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.