Union Valley, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Union Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Union Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.

 

About 64% of adults in Union Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Valley, ~18% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Union Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Union Valley leans more Republican than 81 of 106 neighbors.

Union Valley runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Union Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Union Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Union Valley votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Union Valley runs about 57 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Union Valley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 77% of cities).

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Union Valley, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Union Valley looks the way it does

Turnout in Union Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.