Union Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Union Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Union Valley, ~14% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Union Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Union Valley leans more Republican than 36 of 55 neighbors.
Union Valley runs about 48 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Union Valley. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+57), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Union Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Union Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 88% of households in Union Valley are family households, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Union Valley, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Union Valley looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Union Valley have completed high school, about 10 points above the Texas average of 86%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Union Valley sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Royse City, TX R+46
- Quinlan, TX R+66
- Fate, TX R+31
- Caddo Mills, TX R+66
- McLendon-Chisholm, TX R+52
- Josephine, TX R+54
- Hawk Cove, TX R+60
- Rockwall, TX R+31
- West Tawakoni, TX R+63
- Clinton, TX R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glen Arbor, MI D+20
- Crosses Corner, VA R+28
- Vicksburg, IN R+62
- Whiteash, IL R+51
- Coletown, OH R+66
- St. Johns, OH R+70
- Cabery, IL R+57
- Carbon, TX R+75
- Poole, KY R+58
- Sandborn, IN R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.