Valencia leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Valencia typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valencia, ~34% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valencia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valencia leans more Republican than 20 of 29 neighbors.
Valencia runs about 23 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Valencia is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Valencia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valencia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Valencia votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, well above the New Mexico average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Valencia sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities). Valencia runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Valencia, NM sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Valencia looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Valencia own their home, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Valencia sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Peralta, NM R+17
- Los Lunas, NM R+11
- Bosque Farms, NM R+12
- Los Lentes, NM R+10
- El Cerro, NM R+20
- Isleta, NM D+36
- Isleta Village Proper, NM D+36
- Los Chaves, NM R+22
- Meadow Lake, NM R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aline, OK R+79
- Prosser, NE R+65
- Geneva, PA R+56
- Georgetown, MD R+27
- North Lakeport, CA R+18
- North Leeds, WI R+22
- Holloway, MN R+44
- Clay, MS R+82
- Ingraham, IL R+70
- Mountain Top, AR R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.