Los Chaves leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Los Chaves typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Los Chaves, ~29% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Los Chaves compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Los Chaves leans more Republican than 21 of 24 neighbors.
Los Chaves runs about 28 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Los Chaves is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Los Chaves leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Los Chaves, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Los Chaves votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, modestly above the New Mexico average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Los Chaves runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Los Chaves, NM sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Los Chaves looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Los Chaves own their home, about 13 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Los Chaves sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Constancia, NM R+19
- El Cerro, NM R+20
- Los Lunas, NM R+11
- Belen, NM R+14
- Los Lentes, NM R+10
- Dalies, NM R+9
- Valencia, NM R+17
- Jarales, NM R+22
- Peralta, NM R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Salem, NY R+16
- Owensville, IN R+60
- Tutwiler, MS D+55
- Pierson, MI R+47
- Glade Hill, VA R+50
- Gold River, CA D+16
- Searsport, ME R+15
- Linden, PA R+58
- Fowler, IN R+38
- Marceline, MO R+54
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.