Valley Falls leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Valley Falls typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Falls, ~28% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Falls compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Falls leans more Republican than 106 of 110 neighbors.
Valley Falls runs about 45 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Valley Falls is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Falls. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+40) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Valley Falls leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Valley Falls votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Valley Falls runs about 45 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Valley Falls drive to work alone, above 83% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Valley Falls, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Valley Falls looks the way it does
Turnout in Valley Falls sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Millertown, NY R+38
- Johnsonville, NY R+39
- Schaghticoke, NY R+31
- Crandall Corners, NY R+22
- Raymertown, NY R+32
- Melrose, NY R+30
- West Hoosick, NY R+36
- South Cambridge, NY R+9
- Buskirk, NY R+27
- Quackenkill, NY R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fallsburg, NY R+4
- Bright Star, TX R+78
- Starks, LA R+84
- Castalia, NC R+16
- Ina, IL R+59
- St. Clair Springs, AL R+45
- Thackerville, OK R+72
- Avoca, IA R+41
- Bowdoinham, ME R+7
- Columbus AFB, MS R+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.