Valley Park leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Valley Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Park, ~23% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Park leans more Republican than 11 of 36 neighbors.
Valley Park runs about 15 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Park. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Valley Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Valley Park live in densely developed areas, about 13 points below the Mississippi average of 15%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Valley Park sits in the bottom quarter (about 7%, below 97% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Valley Park, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Valley Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Valley Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 6%, about 54 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Valley Park rent, compared to around 17% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Valley Park report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cary, MS D+19
- Haynes Bluff, MS R+54
- Eldorado, MS R+58
- Redwood, MS R+41
- Richey, MS D+8
- Holly Bluff, MS R+39
- Satartia, MS R+66
- Hollybrook, LA R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sil Murk, AZ R+9
- Meigs, OH R+61
- Pike, IL R+71
- Peno, SD R+6
- Sportsburg, PA R+66
- Graves Mill, VA R+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.