La Junta leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 57% of adults in La Junta typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in La Junta, ~32% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How La Junta compares
Among cities within 25 miles, La Junta leans more Democratic than 1 of 55 neighbors.
La Junta runs about 7 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why La Junta leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for La Junta, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 32% of adults in La Junta hold a bachelor's degree, above 78% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; La Junta, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in La Junta looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. La Junta is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in La Junta report food insecurity, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lyden, NM D+15
- Velarde, NM D+15
- Ojo Caliente, NM D+18
- Los Luceros, NM D+15
- Estaca, NM D+16
- Dixon, NM D+11
- Alcalde, NM D+16
- Embudo, NM D+20
- La Villita, NM D+14
- Rinconada, NM D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Broadway, PA R+52
- Holland Mill, TN R+66
- Rothwell, KY R+67
- Megargel, TX R+81
- South Lubec, ME R+17
- Litsey, KY R+67
- Van Burensburg, IL R+56
- Johnsville, MD R+45
- Malpass Corner, NC R+11
- Shaver Lake Heights, CA R+12
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.