Vincent leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Vincent typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vincent, ~28% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vincent compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vincent leans more Republican than 25 of 60 neighbors.
Vincent runs about 22 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vincent. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+44), a spread of about 62 points.
Why Vincent leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vincent, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Vincent hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 18%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Vincent, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Vincent looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Vincent is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 6 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Vincent rent, above 89% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Vincent report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crawfordsville, AR R+19
- Julius, AR Even
- Jericho, AR R+14
- Sunset, AR D+13
- Marion, AR Even
- Lansing, AR D+15
- Clarkedale, AR R+24
- Jennette, AR Even
- Proctor, AR R+8
- Edmondson, AR D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Spring Acres, NM R+73
- Evanston, KY R+73
- Tuckertown, RI D+12
- Elevon, VA Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.