Vine Grove leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Vine Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vine Grove, ~25% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vine Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vine Grove leans more Republican than 7 of 76 neighbors.
Politically, Vine Grove sits close to the rest of Kentucky.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vine Grove. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+55) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 49 points.
Why Vine Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vine Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vine Grove votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 34%, well above the Kentucky average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Vine Grove, KY sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Vine Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Vine Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Vine Grove Junction, KY R+10
- Rose Terrace, KY R+31
- Radcliff, KY R+10
- Fort Knox, KY R+13
- Rineyville, KY R+47
- Muldraugh, KY R+23
- Ekron, KY R+56
- Long View, KY R+46
- High Plains, KY R+65
- St. John, KY R+50
Cities with Similar Populations
- Siler City, NC R+6
- Gretna, NE R+28
- Alexander, AR R+32
- Monticello, KY R+64
- Decatur, IN R+51
- Berthoud, CO R+14
- Spanish Fort, AL R+55
- Webb City, MO R+40
- Cherry Hill, VA D+51
- Urbana, OH R+40
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.