Vine Grove Junction leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Vine Grove Junction typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vine Grove Junction, ~30% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vine Grove Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vine Grove Junction is the least Republican-leaning.
Vine Grove Junction runs about 21 points more Democratic than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Vine Grove Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vine Grove Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vine Grove Junction votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, far above the Kentucky average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Vine Grove Junction, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Vine Grove Junction looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Vine Grove Junction have completed high school, about 11 points above the Kentucky average of 85%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Vine Grove, KY R+34
- Rose Terrace, KY R+31
- Radcliff, KY R+10
- Fort Knox, KY R+13
- Rineyville, KY R+47
- Muldraugh, KY R+23
- Long View, KY R+46
- Ekron, KY R+56
- St. John, KY R+50
- Elizabethtown, KY R+25
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cornland, IL R+55
- South Acworth, NH R+27
- Hartville, WY R+75
- Spade, TX R+69
- Alborn, MN R+17
- New Zion, KY R+76
- Crecy, TX R+73
- Holcomb, WV R+57
- Hoboken, NY R+39
- Woodland, DE R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.