Vineland leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Vineland typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vineland, ~19% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vineland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vineland leans more Republican than 11 of 29 neighbors.
Vineland runs about 41 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Vineland is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vineland. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Vineland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vineland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vineland votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Vineland runs about 41 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Vineland sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 90% of cities). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Vineland sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities).
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Vineland, MN does.
Why turnout in Vineland looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 21% of adults in Vineland report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Onamia, MN R+33
- Pine Center, MN R+46
- Garrison, MN R+27
- Cove, MN R+42
- Hillman, MN R+62
- Harding, MN R+68
- Wahkon, MN R+40
- Lastrup, MN R+73
- Isle, MN R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Old Allison, OK R+62
- Hullsville, NY R+24
- Somerset, VA R+32
- Forest Lake, PA R+50
- Oakfield, ME R+45
- Aurora, WV R+68
- Fedhaven, FL R+62
- Shamrock, WI R+40
- Bayard, IA R+49
- Canton, OK R+74
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.