Vineyard leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Vineyard typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vineyard, ~26% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vineyard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vineyard leans more Republican than 12 of 47 neighbors.
Vineyard runs about 8 points more Republican than Utah as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vineyard. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Vineyard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vineyard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vineyard votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 83%, far above the Utah average of 32%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Vineyard are family households, above 77% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Vineyard, UT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Vineyard looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Vineyard is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Vineyard have completed high school, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orem, UT R+24
- Lindon, UT R+47
- Pleasant Grove, UT R+34
- Provo, UT R+36
- American Fork, UT R+36
- Cedar Hills, UT R+43
- Highland, UT R+49
- Saratoga Springs, UT R+43
- Lehi, UT R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Guyton, GA R+53
- Seekonk, MA Even
- Eunice, LA R+33
- Eggertsville, NY D+33
- Raynham, MA R+3
- Birdsboro, PA R+23
- Welby, CO D+16
- Whitman, MA R+4
- Marianna, FL R+32
- McCordsville, IN R+11
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.