Wading River, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Wading River

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Wading River leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.

 

About 83% of adults in Wading River typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wading River, ~32% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Wading River compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Wading River leans more Republican than 66 of 87 neighbors.

Wading River runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Wading River is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wading River. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 11 points.

Why Wading River leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wading River, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Wading River votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 48%, modestly above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Wading River runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Renting and voter turnout

Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Wading River, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Wading River looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Wading River is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Wading River own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.