Wagon Mound leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Wagon Mound typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wagon Mound, ~29% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wagon Mound compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wagon Mound leans more Democratic than 5 of 6 neighbors.
Wagon Mound runs about 7 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Wagon Mound leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wagon Mound, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 31% of adults in Wagon Mound hold a bachelor's degree, above 76% of cities. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in Wagon Mound have never been married, above 80% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Wagon Mound, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Wagon Mound looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Wagon Mound is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Wagon Mound report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Valmora, NM D+12
- Taylor Springs, NM R+15
- Watrous, NM D+13
- Mills, NM R+28
- Ojo Feliz, NM D+12
- Miami, NM R+18
- Springer, NM R+5
- Los Hueros, NM D+10
- Golondrinas, NM D+14
- Ocate, NM D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Welcome Hill, GA R+74
- Plummer, IN R+61
- Kirkwood, KS R+39
- Sawyer, MN Even
- Highland, TX R+76
- Tschetter Colony, SD R+67
- Orange Springs, FL R+61
- Hix, WV R+54
- Dundaff, PA R+21
- Low Moor, IA R+44
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.