Walnut Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Walnut Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Creek, ~32% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Walnut Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Walnut Creek leans more Republican than 32 of 59 neighbors.
Walnut Creek runs about 28 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Walnut Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Walnut Creek are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Walnut Creek runs against that pattern.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Walnut Creek, NC sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Walnut Creek looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Walnut Creek have completed high school, about 7 points above the North Carolina average of 88%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Grange, NC R+17
- Jenny Lind, NC R+18
- Indian Springs, NC R+29
- Parkstown, NC R+28
- Seven Springs, NC R+37
- Fields, NC R+27
- Goldsboro, NC D+8
- Dudley, NC D+5
- Hopewell, NC R+27
- Liddell, NC R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Westmoreland City, PA R+23
- Mason, IL R+68
- Bloomdale, OH R+49
- San Felipe Pueblo, NM D+57
- Donahue, IA R+36
- Foster, WV R+55
- Crestone, CO D+36
- Marianna, PA R+47
- Lewisville, AR R+23
- St. Marys City, MD R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.