Warner leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Warner typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warner, ~31% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warner compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warner leans more Republican than 52 of 109 neighbors.
Warner runs about 36 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Warner is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Warner leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warner, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Warner drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Warner runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Warner, VA sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Warner looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warner is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 65% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saluda, VA R+30
- Glenns, VA R+43
- Mascot, VA R+35
- Cologne, VA R+38
- Urbanna, VA R+25
- Church View, VA R+20
- Mattaponi, VA R+32
- Shacklefords, VA R+34
- Stormont, VA R+30
- Pampa, VA R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Altair, TX R+63
- Strawberry Ridge, PA R+54
- Shelby, IN R+52
- Nymph, AL D+10
- Woodville, NY R+46
- Terrys Fork, VA R+44
- Jacksonville, NY D+44
- Cochesett, MA R+5
- Crouch, ID R+41
- Vilas, CO R+69
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.