Warrensburg leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Warrensburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warrensburg, ~29% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warrensburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warrensburg leans more Republican than 26 of 83 neighbors.
Warrensburg runs about 25 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Warrensburg. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Warrensburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warrensburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Warrensburg are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Warrensburg, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Warrensburg looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Warrensburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Warrensburg own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Warrensburg have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Sulphur, OH R+38
- Radnor, OH R+38
- Ostrander, OH R+40
- Delaware, OH R+7
- Magnetic Springs, OH R+54
- Leonardsburg, OH R+41
- Pharisburg, OH R+55
- Watkins, OH R+45
- New Dover, OH R+46
- West Berlin, OH R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kingdom City, MO R+57
- Kingsland, AR R+62
- Knightsville, IN R+51
- Hornersville, MO R+64
- Magnolia, LA R+83
- Georgetown, LA R+91
- New Town, MS R+45
- Hamilton, NC D+10
- Monroeton, PA R+62
- Prompton, PA R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.