Watkins Corner leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Watkins Corner typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Watkins Corner, ~18% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Watkins Corner compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Watkins Corner leans more Republican than 33 of 51 neighbors.
Watkins Corner runs about 5 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Watkins Corner leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Watkins Corner, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 7% of adults in Watkins Corner hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Watkins Corner sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 86% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Watkins Corner, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Watkins Corner looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Watkins Corner sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kingtown, AR Even
- Turner, AR R+34
- Marvell, AR Even
- Lake View, AR Even
- Hicks, AR D+15
- Lambrook, AR Even
- Trenton, AR D+17
- Poplar Grove, AR R+20
- Postelle, AR D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yeso, NM R+42
- Adel, OR R+71
- Ardoch, ND R+59
- Canon, CO R+8
- Lumberton, VA R+24
- Utica, MT R+61
- Byrds, TX R+80
- Wesley, NY R+48
- Turkey Ridge, SD R+53
- Manfred, ND R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.