Poplar Grove leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Poplar Grove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Poplar Grove, ~23% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Poplar Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Poplar Grove leans more Republican than 29 of 43 neighbors.
Poplar Grove runs about 11 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Poplar Grove. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+57), a spread of about 74 points.
Why Poplar Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Poplar Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Poplar Grove live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Poplar Grove sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 86% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Poplar Grove, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Poplar Grove looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 24% of adults in Poplar Grove report food insecurity, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Poplar Grove sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Poplar Grove rent, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Trenton, AR D+17
- Barton, AR R+37
- Kingtown, AR Even
- Marvell, AR Even
- Lexa, AR R+45
- Vineyard, AR D+10
- Rondo, AR R+12
- Hicks, AR D+15
- West Helena, AR R+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zenas, IN R+65
- Derby, IA R+52
- Bartlett, KS R+72
- Iroquois, SD R+54
- Mattoon, KY R+72
- Harris, TN R+65
- Spratt, MI R+46
- Blue Springs, NE R+59
- Martinsville, MS D+7
- Ione, GA R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.