Wesley leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Wesley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wesley, ~16% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wesley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wesley leans more Republican than 87 of 98 neighbors.
Wesley runs about 61 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Wesley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wesley. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Wesley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wesley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Wesley votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Wesley runs about 61 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Wesley, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Wesley looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 20% of adults in Wesley report food insecurity, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Leon, NY R+55
- Dayton, NY R+45
- Markhams, NY R+39
- Cattaraugus, NY R+46
- Gowanda, NY R+27
- South Dayton, NY R+49
- Cottage, NY R+45
- Leon, NY R+59
- Perrysburg, NY R+26
- Otto, NY R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yeso, NM R+42
- Adel, OR R+71
- Watkins Corner, AR R+36
- Ardoch, ND R+59
- Canon, CO R+8
- Lumberton, VA R+24
- Utica, MT R+61
- Byrds, TX R+80
- Venturia, ND R+68
- Turkey Ridge, SD R+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.