Welcome is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Welcome typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Welcome, ~33% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Welcome compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Welcome leans more Republican than 15 of 37 neighbors.
Welcome runs about 23 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Welcome is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Welcome leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Welcome, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Welcome votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Welcome runs about 23 points more Republican.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Welcome, WA does.
Why turnout in Welcome looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Welcome own their home, about 18 points above the Washington average of 73%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Welcome have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Deming, WA R+3
- Lawrence, WA R+26
- Peaceful Valley, WA R+14
- Maple Falls, WA R+9
- Everson, WA R+27
- Acme, WA Even
- Nooksack, WA R+32
- Saxon, WA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yeager, OK R+65
- Warren, NH R+12
- Dale, OH R+57
- North Hartland, VT D+13
- Happy Jack, AZ R+39
- Pattersonville, OH R+64
- Benoit, MS D+29
- Nelsonville, WI R+19
- East Sheldon, VT R+44
- Tazewell, GA R+62
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.