Lawrence leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Lawrence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence, ~33% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrence leans more Republican than 32 of 39 neighbors.
Lawrence runs about 44 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Lawrence is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrence. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+35) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Lawrence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lawrence votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Lawrence runs about 44 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Lawrence, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Lawrence looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Lawrence own their home, about 18 points above the Washington average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Everson, WA R+27
- Strandell, WA R+30
- Welcome, WA R+4
- Nooksack, WA R+32
- Deming, WA R+3
- Sudden Valley, WA D+43
- Bellingham, WA D+49
- Peaceful Valley, WA R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Emma, CO D+28
- Alleyton, TX R+62
- Pine Crest, CO R+23
- Ogden, SC R+22
- Tribbey, OK R+70
- Nicksville, AZ R+36
- Swampers, LA R+86
- Hillrose, CO R+64
- Beatty, NV R+42
- Volga, KY R+67
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.