Weller, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Weller

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Weller is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.

 

About 55% of adults in Weller typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Weller, ~9% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Weller compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Weller leans more Republican than 50 of 157 neighbors.

Weller runs about 74 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Weller is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Weller leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Weller, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Weller, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Virginia average of 29%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Weller are family households, above 93% of cities. Weller runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Weller, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Weller looks the way it does

Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 75% of adults in Weller have completed high school, about 14 points below the U.S. average of 90%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Weller sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.