West Dover leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 90% of adults in West Dover typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in West Dover, ~58% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How West Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, West Dover leans more Democratic than 65 of 87 neighbors.
Politically, West Dover sits close to the rest of Vermont.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within West Dover. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 18 points.
Why West Dover leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for West Dover, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 49% of adults in West Dover hold a bachelor's degree, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; West Dover, VT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in West Dover looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. West Dover is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Goose City, VT D+22
- East Dover, VT D+22
- Searsburg, VT D+3
- Wilmington, VT D+35
- South Newfane, VT D+33
- Wardsboro, VT D+5
- West Wardsboro, VT D+2
- Williamsville, VT D+37
- Harrisville, VT D+38
- Newfane, VT D+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Erwinville, LA R+35
- Erie, KS R+56
- Avalon, NJ R+13
- Redwood, NY R+34
- Vesper, WI R+37
- Coverdale Crossroads, DE R+27
- Tullahassee, OK R+57
- Guilford, ME R+38
- Sugartown, LA R+90
- Kittrell, TN R+59
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.