Wheeler County is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Wheeler County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wheeler County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wheeler County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Wheeler County leans more Republican than 5 of 8 neighbors.
Wheeler County runs about 53 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Wheeler County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Wheeler County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wheeler County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 74% of households in Wheeler County are family households, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Wheeler County, TX sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Wheeler County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Wheeler County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Collingsworth County, TX R+56
- Roberts County, TX R+90
- Hemphill County, TX R+66
- Roger Mills County, OK R+83
- Gray County, TX R+59
- Beckham County, OK R+67
- Donley County, TX R+66
- Harmon County, OK R+53
- Hall County, TX R+63
- Greer County, OK R+67
Counties with Similar Populations
- Dickey County, ND R+55
- Phillips County, KS R+68
- Pickett County, TN R+70
- Toole County, MT R+43
- Scott County, IL R+64
- Thayer County, NE R+61
- Gallatin County, IL R+60
- Beaver County, OK R+77
- Rooks County, KS R+66
- Garfield County, UT R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.