Head of the Harbor, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Head of the Harbor

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Head of the Harbor leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.

 

About 86% of adults in Head of the Harbor typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Head of the Harbor, ~36% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Head of the Harbor compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Head of the Harbor leans more Republican than 83 of 147 neighbors.

Head of the Harbor runs about 28 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Head of the Harbor is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Head of the Harbor leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Head of the Harbor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Head of the Harbor votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 32%, above 81% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Head of the Harbor are family households, above 97% of cities. Head of the Harbor runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Head of the Harbor, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Head of the Harbor looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Head of the Harbor is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Head of the Harbor own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.